Reliving the 2010 Draft Lottery

Tonight is the NBA draft lottery – the night where fans of teams that are bad have hope that their teams may no longer be bad. Usually, these fans wait a little longer, but with 16 teams participating in the playoffs, this is THE post-season for those fans.

I was one of these people last year, rooting for the Sixers as they had a decent but not great chance of cracking the top three. With the lottery going on tonight

In order, here were the teams in the lottery, in reverse order of likelihood of getting the top pick:

Team # Team #1 Chance
14. Houston 0.5%
13. Toronto 0.6%
12. Memphis 0.7%
11. New Orleans 0.8%
10. Indiana 1.1%
9. Utah 2.2%
8. LA Clippers 2.3%
7. Detroit 5.3%
6. 76ERS 5.3%
5. Washington 10.3%
4. Golden State 10.4%
3. Sacramento 15.6%
2. Minnesota 19.9%
1. New Jersey 25.0%

The chances of getting a top 3 pick, according to Wikipedia (because where else do you go for NBA knowledge) was 18.3%. In other words, conceivable, but not great.

However great the odds were, though, the Sixers luckily overcame them. And by luckily I really do mean by virtue of luck – the draft lottery is a crapshoot, where teams hope by chance that they become better teams. When the Sixers were skipped, I literally hopped out of my seat and started jumping up and down. THAT is what the result of the lottery could mean for a franchise and its fans.

However, the Sixers didn’t benefit this year all that much from the draft: the team’s improvement mostly arose from players already under contract.

When I saw that the Sixers would pick second, I was ecstatic. I knew the Sixers had their “backcourt of the future”. But is this the case?

So I’m going to propose the question: did the Sixers make the wrong pick last year? As the draft lottery is starting very soon, I’ll hold off on finishing this thought. But it’s something to take into consideration, and I’ll have more on this soon.

For now, reliving last year through YouTube:

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