The Sixer Sense
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Philadelphia 76ers Find Los Angeles Lakers 2017 First Round Pick Growing In Value

By Bret Stuter

Jun 23, 2016; New York, NY, USA; A general view of a video board displaying all thirty draft picks in the first round of the 2016 NBA Draft at Barclays Center. Mandatory Credit: Jerry Lai-USA TODAY Sports
Jun 23, 2016; New York, NY, USA; A general view of a video board displaying all thirty draft picks in the first round of the 2016 NBA Draft at Barclays Center. Mandatory Credit: Jerry Lai-USA TODAY Sports /
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May 17, 2016; New York, NY, USA; Philadelphia 76ers head coach Brett Brown (right) poses with NBA deputy commissioner Mark Tatum after the 76ers receive the first pick in the 2016 NBA draft during the NBA draft lottery at New York Hilton Midtown. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
May 17, 2016; New York, NY, USA; Philadelphia 76ers head coach Brett Brown (right) poses with NBA deputy commissioner Mark Tatum after the 76ers receive the first pick in the 2016 NBA draft during the NBA draft lottery at New York Hilton Midtown. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports /

Turning The Tables

The Los Angeles Lakers are currently ranked 23rd in the NBA. As such, they have a prescribed chance to land in the top three.  As such, the Philadelphia 76ers are 72.4% likely to receive the 8th pick of the 2017 NBA Draft, courtesy of the Los Angeles Lakers.

If the 76ers are to hope for the fourth (and optimal) pick in the 2017 NBA Draft, the Lakers must fall to 27th spot in the NBA. Today, that spot is held by the Dallas Mavericks and the Phoenix Suns.Here is the table. Simply sort the column of chances (click on the pull down twice) to see the distribution of the Lottery teams.

NBA DRAFT PROBABILITY TABLE

SeedChances1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th
1 - 3oth place25025.0%21.5%17.8%35.7%
2- 29th place19919.9%18.8%17.1%31.9%12.3%
3- 28th place15615.6%15.7%15.6%22.6%26.5% 4.0%
4 - 27th place11911.9%12.6%13.3%9.9%35.1%16.0%1.2%
5- 26th place088 8.8%9.7%10.7%26.1%36.0%8.4%.4%
6- 25th place063 6.3%7.1%8.1%43.9%30.5%4%.1%
7- 24th place043 4.3%4.9%5.8%59.9%23.2%1.8%0.0%
8- 23rd place028 2.8%3.3%3.9%72.4%16.8%.8% 0.0%
9- 22nd place017 1.7%2.0%2.4%81.3%12.2%.4%0.0%
10-21st place011 1.1%1.3%1.6%87.0%8.9%.2%0.0%
11-20th place008 .8%.9%1.2%90.7%6.3%.1%0.0%
12-19th place007 .7%.8%1.0%93.5%3.9%0.0%
13-18th place006 .6%.7%.9%96.0%1.8%
14-17th place005 .5%.6%.7%98.2%
15-16th place or below00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%