San Antonio Spurs
PREDICTED FINISH: 1st 64-18
ACTUAL FINISH : 2nd 61-21
What I got right: I saw the retirement of venerable NBA star Tim Duncan as a seamless transition, and for the most part, it truly was. I counted on the team to upgrade at three-point shooting, and they did. In fact, the scenario I described missed on just two key statistics. But those two were the difference makers.
What I got wrong: I failed to grasp the slide of the Spurs defense. The team fell from 92.9 PPG to 98.1 PPG. That was a huge difference maker. The second mistake I encountered was completely missing that raw fit of Kevin Durant on the Golden State Warriors Roster. I missed on 3 games.