2. Defensive rotations
Yikes!
The Sixers do not match up well in this series. While Embiid can certainly dominate Daniel Theis, and he should have no trouble defending Theis on the other end, the Sixers are thoroughly outgunned at every other position.
Again, for argument’s sake, let’s assume Thybulle starts over Horford (the right decision). He probably draws the initial assignment on Jayson Tatum. He is Philadelphia’s best hope against Tatum, and his penchant for chaos is oftentimes a boon to the Sixers’ defense.
However, on no planet — and especially not earth — is the current rookie version of Matisse Thybulle someone you can expect to reliably contain Tatum in a seven-game series. It’s just not happening. Thybulle may have one or two brilliant games, but he will probably answer them with games marred by foul trouble and poor decision-making. He’s still a rookie.
Josh Richardson will defend Kemba Walker, which is fine. He’s good enough to hold Walker below 40, hopefully. Then you have Tobias Harris defending Gordon Hayward — palatable, but not a great matchup — and Shake Milton getting roasted and toasted by Jaylen Brown.
Milton is a certifiably weak defender who, despite his admirable physical traits, simple lacks the strength and awareness to defend at a high level in the postseason. He may get better in time, but right now, Milton is a series weak point for the Sixers. Don’t be surprised if Alec Burks ends up playing more minutes than him.
Here’s the final outlook.
- Shake Milton –> Jaylen Brown
- Josh Richardson –> Kemba Walker
- Matisse Thybulle –> Jayson Tatum
- Tobias Harris –> Gordon Hayward
- Joel Embiid –> Daniel Theis
It could be worse, but this is far from ideal. And we won’t even talk about Korkmaz or Scott, who are now in line for significant minutes following the Robinson injury.
Here’s what I mean by “it could be worse.”
- Shake Milton –> Jaylen Brown
- Josh Richardson –> Kemba Walker
- Tobias Harris –> Jayson Tatum
- Al Horford –> Gordon Hayward
- Joel Embiid –> Daniel Theis
:/
The Sixers should start Thybulle.
Also of note is Marcus Smart, who will receive minutes off the bench and probably overwhelm just about every player currently in Philadelphia’s second unit, as well as anyone not named Josh or Matisse. Not. Great. Bob.