The Philadelphia 76ers and Orlando Magic face off on Friday night in a battle of two teams that have been great at covering the spread this season.
The Magic are 6-2 ATS as home underdogs while the Sixers are 7-3 ATS when favored on the road, so it’s a bit of a tricky spot to pick – especially with Franz Wagner ruled out.
So, why not turn to the prop market for a way to bet on this game?
This is arguably my favorite way to bet on the NBA, and there are a few stars worth betting on in this matchup – including the red hot Joel Embiid.
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Let’s jump into Friday’s picks:
Sixers vs. Magic best NBA prop bets
- Joel Embiid OVER 32.5 points
- Paolo Banchero UNDER 38.5 points, rebounds and assists
- Kelly Oubre Jr. OVER 1.5 3-pointers made
Joel Embiid OVER 32.5 points
It feels illegal to fade Joel Embiid right now, as he’s scored 41 points in each of his games back from a knee injury for the Sixers.
Embiid is averaging 35.1 points per game this season, but his prop for tonight’s game is down to 32.5 against a tough Orlando defense (No. 3 in defensive rating). The Magic can throw Goga Bitadze, Mo Wagner and Wendell Carter Jr. at Embiid tonight, but I don’t think it’ll be enough.
The reigning league MVP has cleared this number in 17 of his 29 games this season, and he’s taking a ton of shots (21.7 per game) and free throws (10.5 per game) which are both career-highs.
I love him to go OVER this prop on Friday.
Paolo Banchero UNDER 38.5 points, rebounds and assists
Paolo Banchero has been forced to handle the ball even more – and take more shots – with Franz Wagner out, but it hasn't exactly produced thrilling results as of late.
Banchero has failed to clear in three straight games and four of his last five matchups, and he’s shot the ball poorly over that stretch as well.
In his last five games, the reigning Rookie of the Year is averaging 21.8 points, 5.8 rebounds and 4.8 assists per game while shooting 38.7 percent from the field and 13.6 percent from 3.
I can’t back him to push 40 PRA if he’s not scoring at a high level.
Kelly Oubre Jr. OVER 1.5 3-pointers made
I’m going to take a shot on Kelly Oubre to hit multiple 3-point shots tonight at plus money – as he’s taken a lot of 3s as of late.
Since returning from getting hit by a car, Oubre has seven games with multiple made shots from deep, but he’s attempting 4.6 shots from 3 over that stretch, shooting 35.2 percent.
There hasn’t been a single game in that 19-game stretch where the Sixers forward has attempted less than three shots from beyond the arc.
With that usage, he’s worth a shot to go OVER this number on Friday night.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.